Senior Analyst – Humanitarian Early Warning & Foresight

The Humanitarian and Stabilisation Operations Team (HSOT) is contracted by Palladium to deliver the Humanitarian Emergency Response Operations and Stabilisation Programme (HEROS), working with FCDO’s Humanitarian Response Department (HCRD) and the Migration and Conflict Directorate (MCD), as well as multiple UK Government teams and partners in 130 countries. The team provides operational and advisory support to meet humanitarian needs and restore stability in sudden-onset disasters, protracted crises and complex emergencies.

The Early Warning, Analysis and Reporting team is at the forefront of humanitarian information and analysis, working at the heart of government to inform humanitarian decision-making. The team monitors global events to provide early warning, alerts, and shape humanitarian responses by delivering insights through clear and targeted analytic products. This involves overcoming a challenging information landscape through mixed method approaches as well as developing and improving methodologies that ensure decision-making is grounded in the best available evidence.

The Senior Analyst plays a central role in delivering high-quality humanitarian analysis within EWAR. This role leads the design and production of analytical outputs, supports methodological innovation, and ensures that insights are timely, evidence-based, and actionable. The Senior Analyst will work closely with the Team Leader and other EWAR colleagues to shape FCDO’s understanding of humanitarian risks and responses. This role requires a high degree of flexibility; the role will sit in the Early Warning and Foresight Team but will be required to work across all aspects of EWAR’s work.

• Analytical Leadership: Lead the delivery of the Humanitarian Early Warning Note (HEWN). Develop and refine analytical methodologies, including risk indices, severity scoring, and response frameworks. Ensure analysis integrates qualitative and quantitative data and reflects operational realities. Collaborate closely with MCD analysts and other FCDO analysts to ensure coherent approaches to early warning analysis. Support briefings and presentations to senior audiences.
• Foresight and Scenario Planning: Contribute to the integration of foresight methodologies into EWAR’s analytical products. Facilitate FCDO scenario‑building exercises. Collaborate with data scientists, meteorologists, and external experts to build mixed methods approaches to foresight. Contribute to cross‑government risk processes (e.g., NSRA, CRI) with humanitarian inputs.
• Response Information and Analysis: Develop and update the IMA Toolkit, in collaboration with the Response and Impact TL. Act as Senior Analyst or HAO during FCDO crisis response. Act as technical backstop for deployed roster members on rotation. Act as in‑hours monitor and fulfil role of Duty Officer on rotation, providing week‑long out of hours surveillance of emergencies. Support EWAR’s readiness and preparedness activities. Be aware of potential risks to effective and responsible programme management and contribute to mitigation measures according to job role. Be familiar with and actively participate in established risk management procedures, including reporting issues against identified risks and failures of mitigation measures. Contribute to risk assessment activities and suggest improvements.
• Other Duties: The post holder will be required to deploy at very short notice to support an FCDO response for a minimum of 4 weeks for up to 40% of their time. Participate in HEST training and work to mitigate safety and security threats for self and others. Contribute to HEROS contract monthly, quarterly, annual contractual reporting on specialist portfolio, and provide support as requested in support of results-based reporting. Support business Transition and Exit Planning: Play a pivotal role in adapting to system upgrades and organisational changes, ensuring the workforce is aligned with future business needs. Lead on providing data inputs during the transition phase. This position follows Palladium’s hybrid working policy, requiring a minimum attendance of three days in the office. As appropriate, engage with Palladium UKEA regional team fora and initiatives. Undertake any other duties as appropriate to the position, as requested.

• Work closely with other EWAR analysts and Team Leaders to ensure coherence across products.
• Work constructively with colleagues to achieve shared goals.
• Share knowledge, support others, and contribute to a positive team culture.
• Be open to feedback and willing to adapt to meet team need.
• Collaborate constructively with colleagues to achieve shared goals and deliver impactful outcomes.
• Share knowledge and expertise to support team members and contribute to a positive, inclusive team culture.
• Remain open to feedback and demonstrate adaptability to meet evolving team and project needs.

• Strong experience in humanitarian analysis, early warning, or information management.
• Proven ability to synthesise complex data into clear, actionable insights.
• Familiarity with humanitarian architecture and operational response mechanisms.
• Experience working with government, UN, or INGO partners in crisis contexts.
• Excellent communication and collaboration skills.
• Familiarity with government systems, particularly FCDO, and cross‑government coordination.
• Research and field experience with INGOs, UN agencies, or similar organisations.
• Act with integrity, reliability, and respect in all interactions.
• Represent Palladium positively in all professional settings.
• Take ownership of tasks and responsibilities.
• Deliver work to agreed standards and deadlines.
• Follow through on commitments and raise concerns early when issues arise.

This is a fixed-term maternity‑cover role based in London until 17 May 2027. Candidates must have the Right to work in the UK and a minimum of 2 years residency in the UK out of the last 5 years to be eligible for this post. The closing date for the advert is 28th May 2026. Palladium International Ltd. participates in the Inter‑Agency Misconduct Disclosure Scheme. In line with this Scheme, we will request information from job applicants’ previous employers about any findings of sexual exploitation, sexual abuse and/or sexual harassment during employment, or incidents under investigation when the applicant left employment. By submitting an application, the applicant confirms his/her understanding of these recruitment procedures.