Quantitative Analyst – Football Modelling Jobs in London Area, United Kingdom at Moretus
Title: Quantitative Analyst – Football Modelling
Company: Moretus
Location: London Area, United Kingdom
Quantitative Analyst – Football Modelling
Moretus | London (Hybrid) | Full-time
£120,000 – £160,000 + performance bonus
About Moretus
Moretus is a London-based sports betting and trading firm specialising in football. We build our own statistical models and price markets across leagues worldwide. We’re a small team growing our modelling function, and we’re looking for a quantitative analyst who wants to own models end to end and see their work tested against the market every week.
What you’ll do
- Build and improve models for football markets, including match odds, Asian handicap and goal totals
- Develop team and player strength ratings that respond to lineups, injuries and form
- Evaluate models rigorously using calibration, log-loss and performance against closing market prices
- Work with our league analysts to turn team news and match observation into model inputs
- Run your models in production on our existing data infrastructure
What we’re looking for
- 3+ years’ experience in statistical or predictive modelling
- Strong statistics: probabilistic modelling, GLMs, Bayesian and hierarchical methods
- Fluent Python or R, plus SQL
- An understanding of why the betting market is a tough benchmark, and how to tell real edge from noise
- Rigour about data leakage, overfitting and small samples
- A genuine interest in football
- MSc or PhD in statistics, mathematics, physics, econometrics or a similar field, or equivalent demonstrated work
Nice to have
- Experience in sports betting, trading or bookmaker pricing
- Experience with football event or tracking data
- Public work such as papers, GitHub projects, a blog or published models
What we offer
- £120,000 – £160,000 base salary depending on experience
- Performance-related bonus
- Hybrid working: 3 days a week in our London office. Fully remote within Europe considered for exceptional candidates
- 25 days’ holiday plus bank holidays
- Workplace pension
- Budget for conferences and training
- A small team where your work has direct impact and is judged by results
Moretus is an equal opportunity employer.
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Quantitative Analyst – Football Modelling employer: Moretus
Moretus is an attractive employer for those passionate about football and data analysis, offering flexible working arrangements and the chance to work closely with quantitative analysts. Employees can immerse themselves in the dynamic world of sports betting while contributing valuable insights to enhance model accuracy.
