Workforce Planning & Forecasting Lead

As a Workforce Planning & Forecasting Lead, you’ll have an exciting opportunity to deliver forecasts and models for c.50,000 people in over 70 business units and operational OCUs. Working in a fast-paced, dynamic environment, you’ll deliver high quality workforce planning to the UK’s largest police service.

We’ll be looking to you for in-year resource plans that reflect immediate priorities, budgets, policy and legislation. You’ll also build resource plans for up to five years in the future and collaborate with partners to translate metrics, KPIs, levers and assumptions into forecasts. Ready to design and build forecasting models, and assess forecasts against performance too? This could be the ideal opportunity for you.

With complete scenario modelling and a team of analytics and data professionals to lead, this is no role for a beginner. You’ll need statistical analysis, sensitivity analysis and regression analysis skills as a minimum. It’s also important that you’re inquisitive, bold and ready to look for new and effective ways to deliver your work and create value for stakeholders. And naturally, you’ll have expertise in workforce planning and deployment processes plus the courage to use new techniques and technologies to optimise outputs.

In return for your skills and dedication, you can expect a competitive salary, a Civil Service pension, excellent career development and one of the most rewarding roles around.

This is an exciting opportunity within the Workforce Planning and Deployment Team of the Metropolitan Police, supporting the direction for the Corporate Workforce Planning and Insight team, through delivery of forecasts & models for all c.50, 000 people into 70+ business units and operational OCUs.

Working for the Met doesn’t have to mean patrolling the streets. Just as important as our uniformed officers is our 14,000-strong team of professional and support staff working behind the scenes. It’s these skilled people who provide the organisational capability to police London in line with our values., Responsible for the delivery of in-year resource plans that reflect immediate priorities, budgets, policy & legislation, and are based on defined metrics, KPIs, levers and assumptions.

• Builds resource plans up to 5 years, collaborating with partners to translate metrics, KPIs, levers and assumptions into forecasts

• Design and build forecasting models and processes, assessing forecasts against performance

• Complete scenario modelling, analysing outputs to drive leadership decisions

• Maintain data catalogue working with data partners to ensure compliance

• Champion effective governance and compliance for the Workforce Planning and Deployment team

• Ensure data integrity and adherence to data quality standards

• Provide visible leadership and collaboration across stakeholders

• Lead and develop a team of workforce analytics and data modelling professionals

• Foster a culture of continuous improvement, and drive high standards across the team, English

Reports To

Band A – Corporate Workforce Planning & Insight Senior Lead

Additional Information

The following competencies will be tested against during sift:

• We take ownership at level 3

• We support, deliver and inspire at level 3

• We analyse critically at level 3

The following values will be tested against during sift:

• Professionalism

• Integrity

Disability Confident Statement

The Met is committed to being an equitable (fair and impartial) and inclusive employer for disabled people, striving to have a diverse and representative workforce at all levels. We encourage applications from people from the widest possible range of backgrounds, cultures and experiences. We particularly welcome applications from people with disabilities and long-term conditions, ethnic minority groups and women.

As a Disability Confident employer, the Met has committed to making disability equality part of our everyday practice. We ensure that people with disabilities and those with long term conditions have the opportunities to fulfil their potential and realise their aspirations.

The Met is committed to making reasonable adjustments to the recruitment process to ensure disabled applicants can perform at their best. If you need any reasonable adjustments or changes to the application and recruitment process, we ask that you include this information within your application form. All matters will be treated in strict confidence.

Please note, if you are applying for a police officer role or to become a police community support officer (PCSO) or designated detention officer (DDO), there is a minimum requirement that you must pass a job-related fitness test (JRFT) at point of entry. This does not apply to police staff roles. Find out more about

• Statistical analysis, sensitivity analysis and regression analysis as a minimum

• Ability to extract data using SQL, Python or other analysis tool

• Ability to carry out statistical analysis to obtain insight, * Inquisitive and brave, someone who looks for new and effective ways to deliver in role and create value for stakeholders

• Dynamic and engaging with strong collaboration skills and ability to inspire and motivate others, building effective relationships with internal and external partners

• Expertise in workforce planning and deployment processes, who uses new techniques and technologies to optimise outputs

• Experience leading teams within a large and complex organisation

• Proficiency in forecasting, modelling, and data analysis tools and interested in machine learning and AI technology

• Adaptability to a fast-paced environment and ever-changing priorities

• Understanding of GDPR, HR Policy, and Employment Legislation