Senior Analyst, Turkey

Eurasia Group is the world's leading global research and advisory firm. We help clients understand, anticipate, and respond to instability and opportunities everywhere they do business. Together with GZERO Media—the go-to source of first insight into geopolitics—and our full‑fledged events team, the Eurasia Group umbrella provides a complete political risk solution. Headquartered in New York, we have offices in Washington, London, São Paulo, Brasilia, Tokyo, Singapore, and San Francisco, as well as on‑the‑ground experts in more than a hundred countries in every region of the world. We are committed to analysis that is free of political bias and the influence of private interests.

This role is ideal for a candidate with deep expertise in Turkish politics and political economy who can translate fast‑moving developments into clear, actionable guidance for corporate decision makers and financial market asset allocators. The Senior Analyst will be responsible for producing timely, forward‑looking analysis on evolving political risk in Turkey and its implications for trade flows, financial flows, central bank policy, fiscal policy, and key external relationships (including Turkey’s interaction with EU, Russia, and the Middle East). The role will also cover Turkey‑relevant sectoral and strategic issues—such as the policy and geopolitical drivers shaping Turkey’s manufacturing and resource landscape—while remaining flexible to support additional regional/thematic coverage as client needs evolve. The preferred location for this role is Istanbul or Ankara. For the right candidate, the role can be based in London, Washington DC, or New York City on a hybrid schedule (four days per week in‑office). The position reports to the MENA Practice Head and may include oversight of external consultants supporting Turkey‑related workstreams.

Responsibilities

• Produce high‑impact Turkey analysis for clients and internal stakeholders, translating political and policy developments into implications for markets, investment, and corporate strategy.
• Write concise, client‑ready deliverables (approximately 30% of the role), including:
• Rapid‑response memos and analytical notes on breaking developments
• Forward‑looking political‑risk assessments and scenario analysis
• Client‑facing briefings and backgrounders for major moments (elections, cabinet reshuffles, legal/judicial decisions, macro policy inflection points)
• Deliver in‑person and virtual client briefings (approximately 20% of the role), tailoring insights to distinct client types (corporates and investors) and answering “so what?” questions clearly and confidently.
• Build and maintain a differentiated source network across political, policy, business, and financial‑market communities to develop proprietary insights and on‑the‑ground colour.
• Track and analyze Turkey’s political system in depth, including:
• Elections and political competition dynamics
• The role of the courts/judiciary and legal constraints in the political system
• Major political parties, key leaders, and the underlying incentives/constraints shaping their decisions
• Institutional dynamics across the presidency, parliament, economic ministries, regulators, and the central bank
• Assess how Turkish politics shapes core macro and market‑relevant channels, including:
• Central bank policy and institutional independence/credibility
• Fiscal policy and distributional politics
• Policy‑driven changes in trade and capital flows, investment climate, and the business operating environment
• Analyze Turkey’s external posture and relationships—especially with the EU, Russia, and Middle East partners—and assess implications for sanctions risk, commercial ties, energy/security considerations, and investor sentiment.
• Contribute to broader MENA collaboration by working closely with regional colleagues (including on Turkey’s linkages to issues such as Syria and Iraq, as relevant to clients).
• Support the MENA Practice Head on planning and execution of Eurasia Group’s entire regional agendas and client priorities; manage discrete workstreams with outside consultants when needed.
• Travel occasionally based on client and story needs (primarily to London and the GCC, with potential trips to New York and Tokyo).

Desired Skills

• Experience: Typically 5+ years of relevant professional experience (journalism, finance/markets, consulting, research, or related fields). More experienced candidates are encouraged to apply.
• Turkey expertise: Demonstrated, expert‑level understanding of Turkish politics and political economy, including key actors, institutions, and decision‑making constraints.
• Client orientation: Strong ability to connect political developments to concrete implications for financial markets and corporate strategy, and to communicate those implications clearly to senior clients.
• Writing and briefing excellence: Proven ability to write crisp, analytically rigorous memos and to brief confidently in person or on calls.
• Network and sourcing: A substantial existing network in Turkey and/or a demonstrated ability to build one quickly; comfort developing differentiated “on‑the‑ground” insight.
• Economic fluency: Deep understanding of Turkey’s economic dynamics and the political drivers of economic decision‑making; comfort analyzing central bank and fiscal policy through a political‑risk lens (highly technical modeling is a plus but not required).
• Language: Native or near‑native Turkish required. Fluent professional English required.
• Collaboration and judgment: Strong teamwork, self‑direction, and sound judgment under time pressure; ability to prioritize and deliver during fast‑moving political and market events.

Location Preferred: Istanbul or Ankara. Alternate: London, Washington DC, or New York City (hybrid; four days per week in‑office).

At Eurasia Group, our mission is to provide the tools and understanding needed in a world where politics drives disruption. We put politics first for our clients, and we aspire to be the leading place people come to find out about the world. This requires us to maintain a company culture that puts people first. We are committed to fostering an environment that is empowering and globally minded. We firmly believe that bringing people with a variety of ideas and perspectives to the table makes our analysis stronger for our clients and creates a better workplace. Our leadership team is dedicated to embedding this approach into everything we do and how we lead because we care deeply about our work and our people.